Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 6.659089e-05 0.000080 0.000094 0.000111 0.000130 0.000150 0.000173
2025-03-02 4.662472e-05 0.000064 0.000084 0.000108 0.000138 0.000171 0.000212
2025-03-09 3.479746e-05 0.000052 0.000074 0.000102 0.000138 0.000179 0.000231
2025-03-16 2.776222e-05 0.000046 0.000070 0.000102 0.000144 0.000195 0.000260
2025-03-23 2.272146e-05 0.000041 0.000066 0.000102 0.000149 0.000208 0.000285
2025-03-30 1.841592e-05 0.000036 0.000062 0.000101 0.000153 0.000220 0.000308
2025-04-06 1.447804e-05 0.000032 0.000058 0.000098 0.000154 0.000227 0.000325
2025-04-13 1.163181e-05 0.000028 0.000054 0.000096 0.000156 0.000236 0.000345
2025-04-20 8.595935e-06 0.000023 0.000049 0.000091 0.000153 0.000237 0.000354
2025-04-27 7.012687e-06 0.000021 0.000047 0.000090 0.000156 0.000247 0.000375
2025-05-04 5.841728e-06 0.000019 0.000045 0.000091 0.000161 0.000259 0.000399
2025-05-11 5.010957e-06 0.000018 0.000045 0.000093 0.000168 0.000273 0.000425
2025-05-18 3.884755e-06 0.000016 0.000043 0.000093 0.000173 0.000289 0.000457
2025-05-25 2.539193e-06 0.000013 0.000039 0.000089 0.000172 0.000294 0.000474
2025-06-01 1.590918e-06 0.000011 0.000035 0.000085 0.000170 0.000298 0.000490
2025-06-08 1.087109e-06 0.000009 0.000033 0.000084 0.000174 0.000309 0.000516
2025-06-15 7.470313e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000084 0.000178 0.000323 0.000545
2025-06-22 4.684800e-07 0.000007 0.000030 0.000083 0.000181 0.000333 0.000570
2025-06-29 2.483926e-07 0.000006 0.000028 0.000080 0.000180 0.000339 0.000588
2025-07-06 1.274225e-07 0.000005 0.000026 0.000079 0.000182 0.000348 0.000611
2025-07-13 3.811489e-08 0.000004 0.000023 0.000074 0.000177 0.000347 0.000619
2025-07-20 1.375372e-08 0.000003 0.000022 0.000074 0.000181 0.000358 0.000645
2025-07-27 4.095293e-09 0.000003 0.000021 0.000074 0.000185 0.000371 0.000675